Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 18.553832 21.199434 24.221009 27.956318 32.490050 37.866766 44.804550
2025-08-03 15.488039 18.889353 23.135187 28.929259 36.799821 47.380968 63.161292
2025-08-10 13.275640 16.862015 21.598609 28.497854 38.624950 53.532067 78.377280
2025-08-17 11.722226 15.356948 20.371202 28.062956 40.093716 59.223472 94.433221
2025-08-24 10.600458 14.249299 19.470829 27.845046 41.698599 65.332779 113.150364
2025-08-31 9.567242 13.125015 18.367394 27.085152 42.196175 69.578074 129.859433
2025-09-07 8.822115 12.332022 17.646341 26.791095 43.371150 75.261175 151.832323
2025-09-14 7.976668 11.301153 16.434386 25.491172 42.470294 76.644855 164.512252
2025-09-21 7.231913 10.360518 15.270635 24.117571 41.182279 76.908270 174.549114
2025-09-28 6.706910 9.721727 14.535684 23.406560 41.054142 79.642459 192.690795
2025-10-05 6.924872 10.282560 15.839291 26.575059 49.398895 104.354845 293.672724
2025-10-12 6.756027 10.190959 16.011051 27.618121 53.446209 120.054626 379.533240
2025-10-19 6.302507 9.603698 15.283210 26.847965 53.376424 125.076963 430.100496
2025-10-26 6.126310 9.477573 15.376926 27.775116 57.583975 144.376880 572.133437
2025-11-02 5.792593 9.050253 14.871768 27.365966 58.374907 153.451759 675.521439
2025-11-09 5.490240 8.656535 14.394374 26.953656 59.078492 162.645996 797.516559
2025-11-16 5.239113 8.336997 14.030861 26.747018 60.305141 174.399528 965.089162
2025-11-23 4.951924 7.933619 13.471564 26.026219 59.947850 180.093849 1099.463538
2025-11-30 4.735496 7.646700 13.119857 25.747200 60.829996 191.378582 1324.044820
2025-12-07 4.436574 7.190594 12.398085 24.513141 58.626044 188.658521 1391.175503
2025-12-14 4.150746 6.745702 11.673262 23.208021 56.011643 183.332236 1419.960507
2025-12-21 3.946619 6.444614 11.223408 22.531991 55.263439 186.475070 1581.474574
2025-12-28 4.101527 6.830096 12.212698 25.542179 67.134940 259.557345 3465.591073